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Archive for October, 2010

NFL – Week Eight Picks

29 Oct

In my predictions for week seven in the NFL, I had 9 correct and 5 wrong again, leaving the overall count at 60 right and 43 wrong for the season. Here are my week eight choices:

Buffalo at Kansas City – the Chiefs are looking more and more like the surprise team of 2010 that will win its’ division and get into the playoffs, while the Bills are still finding their way, trudging through an 0-6 season so far. Kansas City is usually tough to beat at home also. I think they will, by season’s end, finish first in the AFC West but the Bills will pull an upset and win their first game of the season this week.

Denver vs. San Francisco (in London) – this is technically a home game for the Niners, and after the pathetic showing by Denver last week at home, I have to believe there are issues in the Broncos’ locker room that have found their way to the field. San Francisco wins a sloppy game, and the Tim Tebow watch begins in Denver.

Jacksonville at Dallas – the underachieving Cowboys now have to regroup behind Jon Kitna at QB, and I believe they will. On paper, they are miles ahead of the Jaguars talentwise, and that talent will translate to the field for once this week and the ‘Boys will pull out a win.

Miami at Cincinnati – the Dolphins have reeled off a couple of impressive road wins this season, and I believe they are a tougher team, mentally and physically, than the Bengals.  Miami’s defense shuts down the Cincinnati attack enough to get another road win.

Washington at Detroit – Mike Shanahan has done a great job of returning the Redskins to respectability this year, but I still don’t completely believe in them yet.  The young Lions are starting to feel it and they’ll win with another impressive home field  performance  this week, behind their young returning QB, Matthew Stafford and a young, improving defense.

Carolina at St. Louis – the young Rams, predictably, have been inconsistent this season. This should be one of their “up” weeks, and they’ll beat the Panthers at home.

Green Bay at New York Jets – the AFC East, other than Buffalo, is the best division in the NFL this year, and the brash Jets may be the division’s best team. The Pack is banged up and put a lot of effort into beating Brett Favre and the Vikings on Sunday night, so I see the Jets winning this game rather handily.

Tennessee at San Diego – it’s more than just the usual slow start with the Chargers this season – this team just doesn’t appear to have the talent they’ve had in the past. I don’t believe either of these teams is a serious contender, but the Titans play tougher defense and can run the ball with Chris Johnson, so they’ll pull out a win on the road here.

Minnesota at New England – the Patriots win this game big no matter who is at QB for the Vikings, since Brett Favre seems lost and disinterested anyway. New England is re-tooling on the fly this season, and continuing to win, and this game will be no exception. Don’t be surprised if Deion Branch has a big role in the game plan, just to send Randy Moss a message.

Tampa Bay at Arizona – these teams appear to be going in opposite directions. Josh Freeman has been impressive guiding the young Bucs, while the Cardinals play musical quarterbacks. Tampa is the better of these 2 teams at this point, but I see them getting tripped up on the road in this game in a mild surprise.

Seattle at Oakland – the Seahawks are probably going to win the NFC West, but they’re due for a down week in their inconsistent season, and the Raiders are flying high after demolishing Denver. I like Oakland to win at home. The Raiders have to feel they are legitimate contenders to win their division, and unlike some perceived “better” teams like Dallas and San Diego, they are competitive in every game.

Pittsburgh at New Orleans – the Steelers may be the best team in the NFL right now. New Orleans has struggled, but with Reggie Bush due back from injury and the Saints needing this game to keep pace with Atlanta, I believe New Orleans will win at home. The quality of their opponent this week, and the prime time atmosphere of a Sunday night game, will awaken the Saints from their Super Bowl hangover and keep them playing at the top of their game.

Houston at Indianapolis – the Colts, like a lot of other teams in 2010, have struggled to maintain their past success rate this season. The loss of Dallas Clark for the season will slow the Colts’ offense, at least temporarily until Peyton Manning figures out how to adjust to it. I’m picking Houston to win a game that will be one of the franchise’s biggest victories in their short history.

 
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Classic Team Logo of The Day

29 Oct

Logo of the National Hockey League’s Washington Capitals, used from 1995 until 2001. The Caps, founded as an expansion team in 1974, changed both their logo and team colors in ’95, and had a decent team in this era, under coach Jim Shoenfeld, and later Ron Wilson. Their roster included players like Peter Bondra, Dale Hunter, Joe Juneau, Steve Konowalchuck, Phil Housley, Calle Johansson, Adam Oates, Sergei Gonchar and goalie Olaf Kolzig. They reached the Stanley Cup Finals in 1998, but were swept by Detroit. Also in the ’98 season, Hunter, Housley and Oates all reached the 1,000 point mark in their careers, the only time in NHL history 3 players on the same team accomplished that feat.

 

Classic Sports Card of The Day

29 Oct

1973 Topps hockey card of former NHL winger Bill Goldsworthy, who played 14 seasons for 4 different pro hockey teams, most notably the NHL’s Minnesota North Stars. Goldsworthy’s best NHL season was in 1974, when he scored 48 goals for the Stars. He also served as team captain for 2 seasons. Goldsworthy died of complications from AIDS in 1996, and was the first known professional hockey player to have the disease.

 

NFL – Can Fitz Be The Bills’ Answer?

28 Oct

After putting on quite a performance in Baltimore last week, Ryan Fitzpatrick, in the eyes of at least some fans, has emerged as possibly being “the guy” to lead the Buffalo Bills out of the losing wilderness they’ve been in for a decade. The Bills’ front office, and coach Chan Gailey, have to be pleased with the way the entire offense has improved since Fitzpatrick took the reins from Trent Edwards. Whether or not the team gets the top pick in the draft, and whether they decide to use that pick to draft a “franchise” quarterback or not, will depend on how the rest of this season plays out. In fact, the remainder of the season will pretty much make the decision for them. If they wind up with the top pick, it will mean that Fitz’s play leveled out as the season went on, and he looks like the “career backup” that is the description that he’s had up to this point. If he continues to improve and the offense thrives and the team starts to win, it’ll mean that the draft pick the team winds up with won’t be a top 5 pick anyway, so the front office can concentrate on finding some impact defensive players. There’s also the possibility that the offense thrives, Fitzpatrick puts a stranglehold on the starting job, and the defense continues to be awful, resulting in a lot of 38-35 losses, and the Bills still wind up with the NFL’s worst record. In that case, the scouts will need to find the next Bruce Smith instead of the next Jim Kelly, or they could trade the pick to accumulate extra picks to shore up the roster. Fitzpatrick, a Harvard graduate who certainly is intelligent enough to run an NFL offense, has had ups and downs since regaining the starting job he actually won last year, but one thing is certain. His play has raised the level of play of the rest of his offensive teammates. Since he has been put in the lineup, the play of the offensive line has been better – or has he made them look better by making better decisions, getting rid of the ball quicker and avoiding sacks? The receiving corps, which looked weak at the start of the season, is suddenly making all kinds of plays. Lee Evans had one of his most productive games in years at Baltimore, Roscoe Parrish’s speed and talents are being utilized again and Stevie Johnson, who looked lost at the start of the year, is an emerging star. David Nelson has made big plays in limited playing time, and even the tight ends have been used in the offense – something the Bills never seem to do. The running game, expected to be the featured part of the offense, has been effective when used, and should be even better when opponents have to respect the pass. Even with an 0-6 record, the rest of the season will be interesting in Buffalo as the Ryan Fitzpatrick story plays out.

Fitzpatrick’s situation got me to thinking about players throughout the NFL’s history who’ve risen from obscurity to stardom at the QB position over the years. For every top draft pick superstar like Terry Bradshaw, Troy Aikman and Phil Simms, there’s a rags to riches story like Jim Plunkett, Rich Gannon, John Unitas or Mark Rypien, players who came off the scrap heap, or were considered “career backups”, who made the most of an opportunity to lead a team to a championship. There are 2 examples from the 1960s that mirror Fitzpatrick’s NFL career so far.

In the mid-1950s the NFL draft was 20+ rounds long, and Bart Starr was an afterthought 17th round draft pick out of Alabama in 1956 by Green Bay. When Vince Lombardi took over the Packers in 1959, he played Babe Parilli and Lamar McHan at QB with mixed results, and threw Starr in occasionally but was unimpressed with his play. Starr wasn’t a physically gifted athlete and was on the shy side. His best asset was intelligence, and when Lombardi tired of the mental mistakes being made by the other QBs, he gave Starr his opportunity, then committed to him as the permanent starter. Five championships, and 6 title appearances in 8 years, were Lombardi’s reward for trusting in Starr.

Dr. Frank Ryan, a PHD in mathematics, kicked around the NFL for 4 years as the Rams’ backup QB before being traded to Cleveland in 1962. Ryan, like Starr known for his smarts rather than his athletic ability and considered a reserve QB at best, was acquired by the Browns to back up starter Jim Ninowski. But when Ninowski broke his collarbone Ryan was forced into the lineup. He slowly gained the confidence of his teammates and the coaching staff and wound up keeping the starting job for 6 years before being forced to retire because of injuries. He threw for 25 touchdowns with 13 interceptions in 1963, and in ’64, led the NFL in TD passes and guided the Browns to a surprise 27-0 win over Don Shula’s heavily-favored Baltimore Colts in the league title game.

Bart Starr (left) and Frank Ryan.

 
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Classic Team Logo of The Day

28 Oct

Logo of the Orlando Renegades, a team that played in the United States Football League. The team played its’ first 2 years in Washington before relocating to Florida in 1985. In Orlando, the Renegades played their home games in the Citrus Bowl, and their head coach was Lee Corso, currently a colorful college football analyst for ESPN known for wearing teams’ mascot heads when he predicts which team will win a game. His staff included 2 coaches who would go on to have success in the NFL – Steve Mariucci and Bruce DeHaven. Corso built a pretty good offensive team led by mobile QB Reggie Collier and RB Curtis Bledsoe, but the franchise folded after the ’85 season along with the rest of the league.

 

Classic Sports Card of The Day

28 Oct

In a recent post about the flurry of questionable hits to the head in the NFL, I quoted Mike Ditka suggesting that the league go back to playing without face masks on their helmets, because “these pretty boys playing today won’t want to mess up their faces and risk losing endorsements”. This 1958 Topps football card, from www.CheckOutMyCards.com , is a card of the last player to play without a face mask in the league, flanker back Tommy McDonald. He played 12 years in the NFL, mostly with the Philadelphia Eagles, and was on the Eagles’ 1960 championship team. McDonald also played for the Falcons, Rams, Cowboys and Browns before retiring in 1968. Known for his exuberance and enthusiasm for the game, he was a six time Pro Bowler and was inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame in 1998. McDonald also is an artist, and a portrait he painted of Joe DiMaggio sold at auction for $4,000.

 

MLB – World Series Preview

27 Oct

It’s rare when David slays Goliath twice in one week, but that’s what happened in baseball’s League Championship Series. In the American League, the Texas Rangers followed the tried and true formula for reaching the World Series – make sure Cliff Lee is in your starting rotation. Of course, the Rangers did much more than that. They outplayed the defending champion New York Yankees in every phase of the game. Lee continued his post-season mastery, putting his name up there with Sandy Koufax, Jack Morris and Bob Gibson as pitchers who excel under pressure. The surprise was the performance of the other Texas starters, especially C.J. Wilson and Colby Lewis. Not being a fan of pitch counts and coddling of pitchers in general, I hope the Rangers’ example of expecting the starters to finish what they start, an old school approach that mirrors what their team president, Nolan Ryan did, becomes a trend in baseball. It’ll improve the quality of the game. The Yankees’ starters were mostly ordinary. Even C.C. Sabathia, who won a start to keep his team from being eliminated in game 5, wasn’t dominant in that start, his teammates bats just came alive. Josh Hamilton, Vlad Guerrero and Yankee killer Bengie Molina all had timely hits in the series for Texas, while the vaunted Yankee lineup mostly went cold.

In the National League, it was a similar story. On paper, the Philadelphia Phillies had a much more potent lineup than San Francisco. However, the Phils’ bats went silent when it counted, and the Giants combined great pitching with timely hitting to win. The Phillies were a heavy favorite based on their starting rotation being the best in baseball, and their lineup far outclassing the Giants’, but the Giants pitchers and hitters got the job done. Ryan Howard’s last at-bat, which ended the Series, summed up Philadelphia’s effort overall. Every kid who has ever played Little League baseball has heard it a thousand times – “if you’ve got 2 strikes, protect the plate”, “if it’s close, get your bat on it”, “go down swinging”, etc. but Howard watched strike 3 pop into the catcher’s glove doing what too many major leaguers do these days that make the game too long and exasperating – he took the pitch, the most important pitch in the most important at-bat of the series. The Phils already had the tying run in scoring position and Howard is paid to drive in runs. Drawing a base on balls in that situation did nothing to help his team, and the pitch was way too close to take.

In picking a winner in the World Series, I have to go with Texas, based mostly on the presence of Lee. While other pitchers, Roy Halladay, Cole Hamels, Phil Hughes, Andy Pettitte, Tim Lincecum, Matt Cain, Jonathan Sanchez, etc. have had great playoff outings this year, they’ve also had average ones. Lee has been consistently spectacular in every start, and there’s no reason to believe he won’t continue to be. Texas has a better overall lineup also. So, assuming that Lee will beat the Giants’ best starter, Lincecum, probably twice, I’ll pick the Rangers to win in six games.

 
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Classic Team Logo of The Day

27 Oct

Logo of the National Basketball Association’s Detroit Pistons, used from their first season in Detroit in 1957 until 1971. They moved to the Motor City from Fort Wayne, Indiana in ’57, and were mostly a losing operation during the era when this logo was used, although they had some of the sport’s greatest players on their roster, including Dave Bing, current mayor of Detroit, Bob Lanier, Dave DeBusschere, Jimmy Walker and Walt Bellamy. The franchise has won 3 NBA titles, two in the “Bad Boy” era in 1989 and ’90, and most recently in 2004.

 

Classic Sports Card of The Day

27 Oct

 

In honor of Halloween, this 1975 Topps basketball card, from www.CheckOutMyCards.com , of former Houston Rockets guard Mike Newlin, wearing his Geico caveman Halloween costume. Actually, that isn’t a costume…it’s the way athletes looked in the 1970s. Newlin was a decent NBA player, playing 11 seasons with the Rockets, New Jersey Nets and New York Knicks. His best season was in 1980-81, when he averaged over 20 points a game with the Nets.

 

NBA – Kicking Off The 2010 Season

26 Oct

From left: Chris Bosh, Dwayne Wade, LeBron James.

The National Basketball Association regular season begins tonight with the league’s new Barnum & Bailey Traveling Circus Show, also known as the Miami Heat, meeting the Boston Celtics in a much-anticipated game. This off-season the NBA was all about free agency and player movement, and Heat general manager Pat Riley made the biggest free agency splash of all time. He signed Chris Bosh, a talented big man, away from Toronto, and convinced LeBron James to join Bosh and Heat star Dwayne Wade in Miami to form an NBA “Superteam”. LeBron didn’t just sign with the Heat, he scheduled an hour-long special on ESPN to announce that he was “taking my talents to South Beach”. So the Heat now become the odds-on favorites to win the league championship, and the guy I feel the most sorry for right now is Miami coach Erik Spoelstra. If the Heat do indeed win the title, he’ll get no credit at all, and if they crash and burn, he’ll be the scapegoat. He’s in the ultimate “no-win” situation. I would be inclined to predict that the Heat will have a pretty good winning season – they were already a decent team before adding Bosh and James – but that they won’t win a championship since putting together “fantasy” teams of all-stars rarely works in pro sports. Just ask Washington Redskins’ owner Dan Snyder. The trouble is the NBA has become such a playground game these days that it probably is possible for Miami to win the title. Tonight’s opener will be a good measuring stick actually. It will pit the SuperHeat against the Celtics, a team that has had recent success by playing the game the way their ancestors in Boston did – unselfishly. One weakness that Miami has is the lack of a dominant big man in the middle. Bosh is a talented player but more of a finesse strong forward type than a center. Boston, meanwhile, added Shaquille O’Neal to what was already one of the NBA’s toughest front lines. The result of this game should tell a lot about which direction Miami’s season goes.

As far as the rest of the league, even though Miami made all the off-season headlines, the Los Angeles Lakers are two-time defending champs so it’s hard to bet against them. The Western Conference had eight 50+ win teams last year while the East had seven clubs with losing records, so it’s obvious which conference is stronger. The West is loaded with teams that are always impressive in the regular season, then underachieve in the playoffs, teams like Phoenix, Portland, Dallas, Utah, Denver, and recently, even San Antonio. The exception is the young Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder played a hard-fought playoff series against the Lakers last season and should be even better as their young star, Kevin Durant, gains more experience. They are the second best team in the conference right now. I would place Dallas next, as owner Mark Cuban resigned star Dirk Nowitzki to keep his team intact. Phoenix lost Amare Stoudemire to the Knicks, Utah saw Carlos Boozer leave for the Bulls and Denver has star Carmelo Anthony begging to be traded, so they should all take backward steps this year. San Antonio is a proud championship franchise but they are aging. A team that could come out of the woodwork to contend is the Houston Rockets, if center Yao Ming stays healthy.

Despite all the Miami hype, the best team in the East is the Celtics. Their Achilles heel is their age, but it didn’t seem to affect their play last year. The Orlando Magic faltered in the post-season last year, and didn’t change their roster at all. Still, they are probably also better than the Heat, based on having a player, Dwight Howard, that Miami won’t be able to stop. The Milwaukee Bucks and Atlanta Hawks have talented rosters but aren’t elite teams. If there’s a sleeper in the East, it’s the Chicago Bulls. They played a tough playoff series against the Celtics 2 years ago and were expected to improve last year but wound up with a disappointing 41-41 record. The free agent signing of Carlos Boozer immediately improves this team however, and should make them a force in the conference. The addition of Boozer was a case of adding the perfect missing piece to an already talented young team.

 
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